Why I Always Bet On Draws In Soccer/Football Betting
If you know anything about sports betting, soccer (or football as they call it in the UK) is one of the best sports to bet on. And within soccer betting, odds offered on draws often represent better value for money.
For newbies: Draws = Ties = When both teams score the same number of goals within 90 minutes, i.e. 0-0, 1-1, 2-2, and so on.
Draws are virtually the only thing I bet on, and my team is the best in the world at making money from draws.
Join our free football telegram channel here!
For those who are new to soccer betting, odds for draws are usually higher than 3.00. This means that if you only bet on draws, you will be profitable in the long run if you are picking the correct games more than one-third of the time.
Most causal bettors don’t bet on draws because:
- They are casual bettors.
- They like watching the sport and don’t like to watch a boring game with no winners.
Unfortunately:
- Nobody gives a shit what you like.
- Casual bettors are losers because they lose.
I bet because I want to make money. I don’t give two fucks about soccer, football, or any professional sports.
If you’re serious about MAKING MONEY in soccer betting (as opposed to betting “for fun”), you should read this exclusive interview with a professional gambler who makes a living just by betting on draws.
He will tell you the Number One Secret that bookies don’t want you to know.
Related articles:
- How To Win Big On Football Bets In The Long Run – A Look At Some Real Data
- How to beat the bookies at soccer betting (for a more comprehensive look at this topic)
NOW is the time to profit
I’m writing this article now because it is about midway through most of the European football seasons.
This means that we have had half the season so far to observe certain patterns in the results of soccer matches in various major leagues.
This is how you could win $16,000 in the next half of the soccer/football season (Jan to May 2017). And I have made it a hell lot easier for you by compiling the best teams to bet on this season (2016/2017).
Update: By the time you’re reading this, this particular season is already over BUT the things I’m going to say STILL apply. Make sure you read till the end of this article!
STEP 1
Refer to the table, Appendix A, below for the list of teams that have the highest frequencies of draws. (Data current as of 15 January 2017)
STEP 2
Place a fixed stake (e.g. $50) on every single league match that these teams play. If the pattern in the first half of the season persists for the second half, you can expect to win about $16,000 in the coming months.
STEP 3: PROFIT AND ENJOY
Track all your bets with a simple excel spreadsheet or Google Document so you can adjust as you go along. Drop a team if you discover its draw ratio dropping below 33%.
Remember to bookmark this blog, so you can come back and leave a comment letting me know how it goes.
APPENDIX A
You can scroll horizontally on your mobile device to see all 6 columns of the Table. But if you can’t, click the following links to see the Table:
Appendix Part I, Appendix Part II, Appendix Part III, Appendix Part IV
| League | Team | % of Draws in 2016/2017 Season So Far | Total Amount Bet (assume $50 per bet) | Total Amount Won (assume average odds 3.00) | Total Profits |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A-League | Western Sydney | 9/15 = 60% | $750 | $1,350 | $600 |
| Dutch Erdivisie | Roda JC Kerkrade | 10/18 = 56% | $900 | $1,500 | $600 |
| French Ligue 1 | Saint Etienne | 9/20 = 45% | $1,000 | $1,350 | $350 |
| German Bundesliga | Hoffenheim | 10/16 = 63% | $800 | $1,500 | $700 |
| Spanish La Liga | Espanyol | 8/18 = 44% | $900 | $1,200 | $300 |
| French Ligue 2 | Bourg | 10/20 = 50% | $1,000 | $1,500 | $500 |
| French Ligue 2 | Valenciennes | 9/19 = 47% | $950 | $1,350 | $400 |
| Italian Serie B | Latina | 14/21 = 67% | $1,050 | $2,100 | $1,050 |
| Italian Serie B | Spezia | 10/21 = 48% | $1,050 | $1,500 | $450 |
| Italian Serie B | Trapani | 10/21 = 48% | $1,050 | $1,500 | $450 |
| Portugal Primeira Liga | Chaves | 9/17 = 53% | $850 | $1,350 | $500 |
| Portugal Segunda Liga | Vizela | 12/22 = 55% | $1,100 | $1,800 | $700 |
| Portugal Segunda Liga | Gil Vincente | 10/22 = 45% | $1,100 | $1,500 | $400 |
| Portugal Segunda Liga | Freamunde | 10/22 = 45% | $1,100 | $1,500 | $400 |
| Scotland Premiership | Hamilton Academical | 11/21 = 52% | $1,050 | $1,650 | $600 |
| South Africa Premier League | SuperSport United | 7/14 = 50% | $700 | $1,050 | $350 |
| South Africa First Division | Mthatha Bucks | 9/15 = 60% | $750 | $1,350 | $600 |
| Israel Leumit League | Maccabi Ahi Nazareth | 11/18 = 61% | $900 | $1,650 | $750 |
| Iran Pro League | Gostaresh Foolad FC | 9/16 = 56% | $800 | $1,350 | $550 |
| Iran Azadegan League | Mes Kerman | 11/19 = 58% | $950 | $1,650 | $700 |
| Iran Azadegan League | Naft Masjed Soleyman FC | 10/19 = 53% | $950 | $1,500 | $550 |
| Morocco Elite 2 | Youssoufia Berrechid | 11/15 = 73% | $750 | $1,650 | $900 |
| Morocco Elite 2 | Rachad Bernoussi | 9/15 = 60% | $750 | $1,350 | $600 |
| Argentina Primera C | El Porvenir | 11/19 = 58% | $950 | $1,650 | $700 |
| Argentina Primera C | Dock Sud | 10/19 = 53% | $950 | $1,500 | $550 |
| Spain Segunda B - Group 3 | AE Prat | 11/21 = 52% | $1,050 | $1,650 | $600 |
| Spain Segunda B - Group 3 | Atletico Levante UD | 11/21 = 52% | $1,050 | $1,650 | $600 |
| English Championship | Aston Villa | 11/26 = 42% | $1,300 | $1,650 | $350 |
Total Profit in half a season, by betting on these 28 teams every week (there are more of these teams if you want to find) = $15,800
Notes
A. I wait till halfway through the season in order to observe patterns and collect statistics. The teams which generate a high frequency of draws vary from season to season. So you can’t use this list of teams every year.
B. Obviously you don’t have to point out to me that the patterns in the first half of the season may not necessarily continue in the second half.
Case in point: Aston Villa in the English Championship had 10 draws in their first 17 games this season. However, they had a change of manager (Steve Bruce in October 2016) and this ratio has dropped significantly, with only 1 draw in their last 9 games.
However you can see that the average draw ratio of the teams listed in the table is above 50%, and you will still be profitable as long as it doesn’t dip below 35-40%.
C. For the sake of calculation, I’m using 3.00 as the average odds. Yes, in some games the odds may be slightly less than 3. For many though, they are higher than 3. I encourage you to use multiple bookmakers to take the best odds for each game. There’s no reason why you shouldn’t register with every single online bookie you can find.
D. For the sake of calculation, I assume a fixed stake in all games. You can exercise your discretion and bet lower-than-usual stakes on games that are the least likely to draw. In any case, they would compensate in the form of higher odds.
BONUS (Win $2,000 to $4,000 every month consistently)
If you like betting on draws and beating the bookies, you should read the following article on how I make as much as $100,000 a year:
Click here to learn how to make $100,000 a year betting on draws
The average person in my team makes between $2,000 to $4,000+++ every month in net profits.
Caveat Emptor: Our betting strategy is not for everyone. It is only for people with balls of steel and heart of a lion. You need to have a healthy bankroll/betting capital and the tough mind of a serious bettor. It’s for the people who don’t just want small wins — they aren’t afraid of big risks in the pursuit of big rewards.
One of our Australian members making good profit by betting on a series of draws in just his FIRST DAY of following the program. 🙂
If you think you’re up for it, learn more at this page.
I’ll see you in the next post.
Thanks dude!
I’ll be trying this out for sure.
Great!
Hello J.K Diego, really nice article. I was just wondering. Does this mean that you don’t make accumulator bets? I figure they’ll be riskier using this method.
Thanks Samuel. I don’t usually do accumulator bets, but some of my clients use my tips to play Under 2.5 goals accumulator (as mentioned in this blog post here https://jkdgo.com/best-soccer-tipsters/)
Good article. Ive just started betting on draws as well. Nice to see someone trying to help people make some money.
A good site for football stats is called
http://Www.thestatsdontlie.com
it is similar to what you have done here and allows you to look for up to date football statistics (great for helping predict draw games)
Thanks Billy.
Excited for the new season. Cheers.
Great Site
Great article. I have been doing some research on it. Please, is this system going to give as much profit as stated above if I reduce the number of games I select per match day? Can it work with, say 15 to 20 games, following the same procedure.? Or is has to be 28 or more for maximum profit.?
Just came back to re-read some of your old blog posts…
I can’t describe your betting system in any way except “You’re a genius”.
As the other guy said, you are an absolute saint in our betting community.
Proud to be part of TEAM DIEGO
Here’s to many more years of kicking the bookies ass!
I need winning games
It seems you are one of the best we are looking for, please let me be part of your winnings team.Thank you.
Of course I am the best.
I stumbled upon your site,through a Google search. Great post. Filled with actionable tips.
Draws are fucking profitable, but I need a system that insures my losses with wins.
I have the perfect winning system, just a matter of whether you have the capital to afford it – https://jkdgo.com/how-to-win-big-on-football-bets/
Awesome strategies and absolutely love your bet strategies and blogs message. Awesome 🙂
i want to join the winning team thanks.
Drop me an email.
Great! I just wanna join your team. issamakela207@gmail.com
No, I will not email you. You have to contact me here to join our Draw Betting subscription.
When you say bet on teams with high draw ratio, do you mean bet on matches featuring two such teams against each other? Because if a high draw team like stoke faces a high win team like Man City, that is not likely to end a draw right?
If you join my amazing winning team, I will do the analysis for you – read this: https://jkdgo.com/how-to-win-big-on-football-bets/
I need this system urgently. Send details to my box/gmail.
Firstly, read this: https://jkdgo.com/how-to-win-big-on-football-bets/
Secondly, I don’t email anyone. If YOU want to join, then YOU email me.
i want to join the wining team
Email me through the contact form on this site.
my what’sapp number please 07067883697
Why? Are you a hooker?
boss i want to join your winning team…. whapp 07033761998
email ybdliyapeter@gamil.com
Ignored. I will have to message hundreds of people a day if everyone wants me to message them.
Good day sir ,
I wanna know how i can join ur winning team 🙂
Ronald,
My fees are 497 USD/month.
If you wish to have a trial before committing to a month, i offer weekly and daily subscriptions at 175/week or 35/day.
Payment through paypal, bitcoin, or credit cards
If you wanna get an idea of how much we usually win on average, it is about $2000 to $4000 a month in net profits.
Read this: https://jkdgo.com/how-to-win-big-on-football-bets/
How are you doing Mr Diego. What I wanted to know is all about this period. Whether those teams are playing? Thanks.
Team Diego plays 365 days a year.
Read this: https://jkdgo.com/how-to-win-big-on-football-bets/
How much starting bankroll would you advise is needed to start joining your team? Do you have a record of wins and losses ect so we could have a look?
100% want to join, your the king of betting.
Hey Cliff,
Read my latest blog post: https://jkdgo.com/get-rich-soccer-betting/
Your questions are all answered there. The post also tells you how to get a copy of our results for the past 7 months (so far this year).
Cheers.
Kindly add me to Team Deigo ,thanks
1) Learn to spell “Diego”
2) We are a business of serious bettors, not a charity who spoon-feeds people.
here is my email hilaryakpan@yahoo.com
Hello Jkdgo,I just read your articles on these platform and it really look so nice and intresting..
I want to join ,Here is my email address:Tracey mods on a gmail.com,Add me to your group and let get started please..I need money …
My tips are only for paying clients.
If you want to become a paid member, read this and follow the proper steps to join: https://jkdgo.com/get-rich-soccer-betting/
I want to join
Read this post and follow the instructions there on joining.
I want to join
https://jkdgo.com/join-team-diego/
greetings am glad seeing something on draw betting and will like to be part of the wining team
Nice. i need strong draws to blow big
Please i want legit possible draws to earn a living massively. maybe i can get a free trial to be sure 100%